KACPER NOWICKI
LAST LOGIN: | TERMINAL: PT-7700
ABOUT_ME
BACKGROUND ACTIVEAfter building a foundation in finance, I transitioned to sales to master client relations and negotiation. However, my enduring passion for the stock market drove me to pass the stock broker exam and return to the financial sector. I am eager to bring a dual perspective to your team—combining rigorous equity analysis with the ability to translate market complexities into actionable client While my early career was rooted in finance, I transitioned into sales to master negotiation and client relations. Throughout that experience, my core passion remained the stock market. Having recently passed the Polish stock broker exam—and as I work toward my CIIA and a Financial Adviser License — I am returning to the financial sector. My goal is simple: to combine sharp market analysis with the ability to clearly translate complex data into actionable strategies for clients and stakeholders..
PROJECTS
MODELS & ALGORITHMSEMA 33/5 crossover self-contained python algorythm with adjustable parameters, leverage etc. Self contained, downloads M1 data and compiles it into timeframes that are necessary for set strategy.
Stack: Python · pandas · NumPy · dukascopy · backtrader > DOWNLOAD backtest_algo.pyThis investment teaser leads with the target's key information, contextualized by sector and competition analyses. It presents a three-statement financial profile alongside a PP&E ownership analysis verified through Polish land and mortgage registers (księgi wieczyste).
Stack: Excel, Word > DOWNLOAD PKP_TERMINALE_MEMO_EN.pdfAn multileveled python pipeline that scraps Bankier Forum for topics about comapanies of the Polish Stock Market (GPW & NEWCONNECT). It later organizes that data by z-values and crossreferences them with data automatically aquired from stooq to look for corelations between the intrest on the forum and returns.
Stack: Python · NumPy · SciPy · BeautifulSoup · sqlite3 > NOT PUBLICScript that automatically parses Polish Financial Statements and returns an excel file with all of the data neatly organized and with basic dynamics calculation.
Stack: Python · NumPy · SciPy · BeautifulSoup · sqlite3 > NOT PUBLICMARKET
MARKET INFOFed terminal rate trajectory suggests asymmetric risk to the downside. Forward guidance implies 75-100bps of easing over 12M. Real rates remain restrictive; duration positioning favours a barbell approach with convexity bias in the long end.
BULLISH DURATIONERP compression continues as earnings revisions stabilise. Current Shiller CAPE signals single-digit forward returns over a 10Y horizon. Favour quality factor tilt with short vol overlay to capture compressed premium.
NEUTRAL EQUITIESUSD smile dynamics favour EUR on relative policy divergence. PLN supported by structural current account improvement and carry. Gold bid on central bank reserve diversification thesis — breakout above $2,800 signals regime shift.
BULLISH GOLD / PLNVIX term structure in contango; complacency elevated. Credit spreads at cycle tights — asymmetric downside. Key catalysts: fiscal cliff mechanics, geopolitical escalation, BoJ policy normalisation shock.
ELEVATED TAIL RISK